Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 53.7%
No 53.7%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 4:48 PM UTCOct 18, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
FURIA vs Aurora Gaming: Map 2 Winner
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FURIA and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against FURIA.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against FURIA.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Aurora Gaming vs. FURIA: Map 1 Winner · Aurora Gaming 52%