Current implied probability
Yes 52.5%
Yes 52.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 4:45 PM UTCOct 18, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
PolymarketFURIA vs Aurora Gaming: Map 1 Winner
LimitlessFURIA vs Aurora Gaming: Map 2 Winner
Limitless9z vs. Aurora Gaming: Spread
KalshiMobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Omega Esports (BO5) - MPL Philippines Playoffs
PolymarketCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FURIA and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching.
Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition.
If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs · Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner — FURIA 55%
- Also available on Kalshi — Aurora Gaming vs. FURIA: Spread · FURIA wins by over 1.5 maps 33%