Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- No
- Recorded
- Jul 15, 2026, 12:36 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probability
No 99.5%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.9K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJul 11, 26, 5:11 AMJul 15, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes0.5%
No99.5%
0.5%
99.5%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RotheraBest overall70% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $18K | $0 | 11 days ago | Open → |
 LimitlessThis page | Low | 100% | — | $2.9K | $0 | 13 days ago |
Also available on Rothera
World Cup 2026 Semi-finals: Spain vs France — Team to Advance
Closed
Resolved
Spain (100%)
100%
0%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$18K
24h Vol$18K
ROTHERARules
This market concerns the France vs Spain World Cup match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026, 19:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to "France" if France is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final.
- This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final.
- This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification.
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2.9kJul 132d of dataJul 14
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This market concerns the France vs Spain World Cup match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026, 19:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to "France" if France is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final.
- This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final.
- This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification.
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance.