Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 10:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 66.5%
Yes 66.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 17, 26, 10:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Tommy Paul.
- This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Daniil Medvedev.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul · Medvedev vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 81%