Current implied probability
Yes 86.7%
Yes 86.7%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$249.5
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov
PolymarketCarlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Game Spread
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Exact Match Score
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Total Games
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Set 2 Winner
KalshiWill Jannik Sinner play fewer tournaments than Carlos Alcaraz in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov in the ATP Japan Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 04:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Denis Shapovalov.
- This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.