KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0 67.3%Leader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0 67.3%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.3
Open interest
$8.3
Low open interestSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 7:00 AM UTCOct 18, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Set 1 Winner
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Set 2 Winner
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz back to ATP No. 1 in 2026?
FutuurRules
If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0
- If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-1
- If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Denis Shapovalov wins 2-1
- If Denis Shapovalov wins the Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Denis Shapovalov wins 2-0
- If Denis Shapovalov wins the Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
