Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 9:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 51.5%
No 51.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 14, 26, 6:00 AM UTCOct 16, 26, 6:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
PolymarketArthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Set 2 Winner
KalshiArthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Games
KalshiArthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Exact Match Score
KalshiArthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Set 1 Winner
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
- This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Arthur Gea.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Gea vs. Fokina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 80%