Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 9:21 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 64.5%
Yes 64.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 6:00 AM UTCOct 16, 26, 10:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur: Game Spread
KalshiAlexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur: Exact Match Score
KalshiAlexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur: Set 2 Winner
KalshiShanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur
PolymarketAlexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur: Set 1 Winner
KalshiOver/Under: How many majors will Alexander Zverev win in his career?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alex de Minaur in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alex de Minaur.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Alexander Zverev.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur · Zverev vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 89%