Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 8, 2026, 9:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 72%
Yes 72%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 8, 26, 6:00 AM UTCOct 10, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Alex Molcan in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Alex Molcan.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Alex de Minaur.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan · Minaur vs. Molcan: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 74%