KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 8, 2026, 8:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Alex de Minaur -4.5 games 44%Market line of 3 lines
Alex de Minaur -4.5 games 44%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
18.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 5:15 AM UTCOct 23, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the game differential in favor of Alex de Minaur across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Alex de Minaur -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Alex de Minaur across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alex de Minaur -4.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Alex de Minaur across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alex de Minaur -7.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Alex de Minaur across the full match is above 7.5 games in the Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
