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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. ETF
  3. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily

Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily

ETFDailyForeign ExchangeGeopolitics21m
LimitlessLimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYC
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 49.6%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

-

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 11, 26, 8:01 PMJun 12, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes50%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on June 12, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".


    The Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) captured on June 11, 2026, was $235.79101.


    Resolution source: Pyth ITA/USD price feed.

  • Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.


    For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.

  • In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day.


    If Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".


    For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.


    If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price.


    If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which ITA is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day.


    In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting ITA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on June 12, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".


    The Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) captured on June 11, 2026, was $235.79101.


    Resolution source: Pyth ITA/USD price feed.

  • Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.


    For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.

  • In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day.


    If Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".


    For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.


    If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price.


    If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which ITA is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day.


    In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting ITA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.