KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $1.39991 or above (81%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
$1.37991 or above 99%Leader of 75 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 3:00 PMAug 21, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
$1.43991 or above2%
$1.41991 or above25%
$1.37991 or above99%
$1.39991 or above81%
$0.35991 or above0%
$0.37991 or above0%
$0.39991 or above0%
$0.41991 or above0%
$0.43991 or above0%
$0.45991 or above0%
$0.47991 or above0%
$0.49991 or above0%
$0.51991 or above0%
$0.53991 or above0%
$0.55991 or above0%
$0.57991 or above0%
$0.59991 or above0%
$0.61991 or above0%
$0.63991 or above0%
$0.65991 or above0%
$0.67991 or above0%
$0.69991 or above0%
$0.71991 or above0%
$0.73991 or above0%
$0.75991 or above0%
$0.77991 or above0%
$0.79991 or above0%
$0.81991 or above0%
$0.83991 or above0%
$0.85991 or above0%
$0.87991 or above0%
$0.89991 or above0%
$0.91991 or above0%
$0.93991 or above0%
$0.95991 or above0%
$0.97991 or above0%
$0.99991 or above0%
$1.01991 or above0%
$1.03991 or above0%
$1.05991 or above0%
$1.07991 or above0%
$1.09991 or above0%
$1.11991 or above0%
$1.13991 or above0%
$1.15991 or above0%
$1.17991 or above0%
$1.19991 or above0%
$1.21991 or above0%
$1.23991 or above0%
$1.25991 or above0%
$1.27991 or above0%
$1.29991 or above0%
$1.31991 or above0%
$1.33991 or above0%
$1.35991 or above0%
$1.45991 or above0%
$1.47991 or above0%
$1.49991 or above0%
$1.51991 or above0%
$1.53991 or above0%
$1.55991 or above0%
$1.57991 or above0%
$1.59991 or above0%
$1.61991 or above0%
$1.63991 or above0%
$1.65991 or above0%
$1.67991 or above0%
$1.69991 or above0%
$1.71991 or above0%
$1.73991 or above0%
$1.75991 or above0%
$1.77991 or above0%
$1.79991 or above0%
$1.81991 or above0%
$1.83991 or above0%
99%
81%
25%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Cryptos
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 12 PM EDT is above 0.3599 at 12 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time.
- The price must meet the criterion at exactly the specified time on the target date.
- If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 12 PM EDT is above 0.3799 at 12 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
