KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $1.36 to 1.3799 (88%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 9:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
$1.36 to 1.3799 88%Leader of 50 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.3K
Liquidity
$6.3K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 14, 26, 8:00 PMAug 21, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
$1.02 to 1.03996%
$1.1 to 1.119920%
$1.38 to 1.39994%
$1.34 to 1.359913%
$1.42 to 1.43990%
$1.4 to 1.41990%
$1.36 to 1.379988%
$1.26 to 1.27990%
$1.32 to 1.339914%
$1.46 to 1.47990%
$1.2 to 1.21990%
$1.24 to 1.259913%
$0.94 to 0.95990%
$0.64 to 0.65990%
$0.72 to 0.73990%
$0.7 to 0.71990%
$0.8 to 0.81990%
$0.52 to 0.53991%
$0.54 to 0.55990%
$0.56 to 0.57990%
$0.92 to 0.93990%
$0.62 to 0.63990%
$0.66 to 0.67990%
$0.68 to 0.69990%
$0.74 to 0.75990%
$0.76 to 0.77990%
$0.82 to 0.83990%
$0.84 to 0.85990%
$0.58 to 0.59990%
$0.6 to 0.61991%
$0.78 to 0.79990%
$1.3 to 1.31990%
$0.86 to 0.87990%
$0.9 to 0.91990%
$0.5199999 or below0%
$0.88 to 0.89990%
$1.04 to 1.059911%
$1.06 to 1.07990%
$1.08 to 1.09990%
$1.12 to 1.13990%
$1.14 to 1.15990%
$1.16 to 1.17990%
$1.18 to 1.199913%
$1.22 to 1.23990%
$1.28 to 1.29990%
$1.44 to 1.45990%
$1.47991 or above0%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
XRP$1 → $1.47+46.5%
88%
19%
13%
13%
13%
11%
10%
8%
8%
8%
7%
7%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
1%
1%
Related Cryptos
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is below 0.52000 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time.
- The price must meet the criterion at exactly the specified time on the target date.
- If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.52000-0.5399 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
