KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $1.4 to 1.4199 (57%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
$1.4 to 1.4199 49.6%Leader of 75 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$259.5
Liquidity
$239.5
Low liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 3:00 PMAug 21, 26, 4:00 PM
49.6%
34.8%
9.6%
6.1%
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Related Cryptos
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 12 PM EDT is below 0.38000 at 12 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time.
- The price must meet the criterion at exactly the specified time on the target date.
- If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 12 PM EDT is between 0.38000-0.3999 at 12 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
