KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $1.34 to 1.3599 (26%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
$1.38 to 1.3999 50.5%Leader of 75 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$323.6
Liquidity
$323.6
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 11:00 AMAug 21, 26, 12:00 PM
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27.4%
20%
2.1%
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Related Cryptos
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 8 AM EDT is below 0.38000 at 8 AM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time.
- The price must meet the criterion at exactly the specified time on the target date.
- If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 8 AM EDT is between 0.38000-0.3999 at 8 AM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
