KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability92.01 or above 98%+3.0%Leader of 44 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$148.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
78.0% / 98.0%
Spread
25.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 2:10 PMJul 31, 26, 6:30 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92.01 or above98%
Large trades
$2.0k99.0%KALSHI79.51 or above — Yes11d ago
KALSHI79.51 or above — Yes11d agoVolume trend
$2.2kJul 621d of dataJul 26
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If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $73 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET.
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $73.5 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $74 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $74.50 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $75 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.