KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Oct 10, 2026, 3:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 2:46 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points99%
Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points99%
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points99%
Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points1%
Golden State wins by over 1.5 points1%
Golden State wins by over 3.5 points1%
Golden State wins by over 6.5 points1%
Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 pointsWon
Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 pointsLost
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 pointsLost
Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 pointsLost
Golden State wins by over 1.5 pointsLost
Golden State wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
Golden State wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Las Vegas wins by more than 4.5 points in the 1st half of the Golden State vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points
- If Las Vegas wins by more than 4.5 points in the 1st half of the Golden State vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points
- If Las Vegas wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the Golden State vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points
- If Las Vegas wins by more than 1.5 points in the 1st half of the Golden State vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points
- If Las Vegas wins by more than 10.5 points in the 1st half of the Golden State vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Golden State wins by over 1.5 points
- If Golden State wins by more than 1.5 points in the 1st half of the Golden State vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Golden State wins by over 3.5 points
- If Golden State wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st half of the Golden State vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Golden State wins by over 6.5 points
- If Golden State wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st half of the Golden State vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
