KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Lionel Messi starts for Argentina (99%)
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, 10:57 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Lionel Messi starts for Argentina
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityLionel Messi starts for Argentina 99%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$62.1K
Liquidity
$62K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 2, 26, 1:40 PMJul 4, 26, 10:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Lionel Messi starts for Argentina99%
Julian Alvarez starts for Argentina50%
Emiliano Martinez starts for Argentina99%
Cristian Romero starts for Argentina83%
Nicolas Otamendi starts for Argentina99%
Facundo Medina starts for Argentina0%
Lautaro Martinez starts for Argentina0%
Thiago Almada starts for Argentina0%
Leandro Paredes starts for Argentina0%
Enzo Fernandez starts for Argentina83%
Rodrigo De Paul starts for Argentina94%
Alexis Mac Allister starts for Argentina99%
Nico Paz starts for Argentina13%
Nahuel Molina starts for Argentina82%
Giuliano Simeone starts for Argentina7%
Lisandro Martinez starts for Argentina98%
Nicolas Tagliafico starts for Argentina0%
Marcos Senesi starts for Argentina0%
Gonzalo Montiel starts for Argentina0%
Geronimo Rulli starts for Argentina0%
Jose Manuel Lopez starts for Argentina0%
Juan Musso starts for Argentina0%
Giovani Lo Celso starts for Argentina0%
Exequiel Palacios starts for Argentina0%
Nico Gonzalez starts for Argentina0%
Valentin Barco starts for Argentina0%
99%
1%
99%
99%
3%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If Lionel Messi starts for Argentina in the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Resolution is based on the lineup and players on the field when the match begins.
- If a player is not included in the initially announced starting lineup but is in the official starting lineup at kickoff and on the field when play begins, the market resolves Yes.
- If a player is named in the starting lineup but is replaced or withdrawn before kickoff, the market resolves No.
- Substitute appearances do not count.
- If this game does not occur before Jul 4, 2026, all markets resolve to No.