KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Argentina advances (96%)
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, 12:53 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Argentina advances
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
92%
ConsensusCurrent implied probability
Argentina advances 97%+6.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$109.1M
Liquidity
$69.4M
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 59 days ago
StaleJun 27, 26, 3:05 AMJul 31, 26, 10:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Cape Verde advances3%
Argentina advances96%
97%
3%
Rules
If Argentina advance past Cape Verde in the Argentina vs Cape Verde soccer tie in the Round Of 32 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi
- If Cape Verde advance past Argentina in the Argentina vs Cape Verde soccer tie in the Round Of 32 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
