KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Round of 32 (99%)
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, 12:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Round of 32
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
14%
SurpriseCurrent implied probabilityOutright Winner 1%-4.0%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$665.9K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleMay 8, 26, 12:30 AMJul 27, 26, 2:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Round of 3299%
Quarterfinals1%
Round of 161%
Outright Winner1%
Runner-Up1%
Semifinals5%
1%
1%
99%
1%
1%
5%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If Germany is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.