KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: France (99%)
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, 9:28 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
France
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
80%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityFrance 97.1%+20.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$111.5K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 30 days ago
StaleDec 12, 25, 3:00 PMJul 11, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
France80%
Norway21%
Iraq1%
97.1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· France
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $111.5K | $4.8K | 30 days ago | |
 Polymarket67% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $21.4K | $0 | 29 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup Group I Winner
19.4 ptsClosed
Resolved
France (100%)
+19.4pt100%
-1.5pt0%
-19.4pt0%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$1.5M
24h Vol$21.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If Senegal finish first in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If France finish first in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Norway finish first in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Senegal finish first in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If France finish first in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Norway finish first in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.