KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityLionel Messi 17%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16.8K
Liquidity
$17.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 17.0%
Spread
21.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 9:47 PMAug 2, 26, 7:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Lionel Messi17%
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If no player records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026.
- If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start.
- Once a player enters the game, the market settles based on the player's goals scored.
- If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the market will resolve based on the next non-own-goal scored.
- If Mikel Oyarzabal records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.