Target price: 158.489
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (31%)
Resolved: Nov 4, 2026, 8:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:01 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes31%
No69%
NoLost
YesWon
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
PolymarketUSD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026
PolymarketUSD/JPY price on Nov 5, 2026 at 10am EST?
KalshiWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 158.25 on November 5, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExUS Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on November 5?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Pyth
- The market resolves based on the Close price of the USD/JPY exchange rate as published by Pyth Network At 3:15 PM EST on Nov 4, 2026. The Target Price of the value of the USD/JPY exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 3:00 PM EST on November 4, 2026 equals the value of the USD/JPY exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at the opening of the 15-minute window. "Above" means strictly greater than (>). Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to 3 decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined at the specified time, the market may be resolved pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process under Rule 7.1, including by reference to a substantially equivalent replacement feed published by the Source Agency.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
