KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 59.0% 44%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$401
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 21, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone, for December 2026 is above 57.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Swift
- The Underlying is the percentage share attributed to USD for December 2026 in the “International payments currency - Excluding payments within Eurozone” table published by Swift in its Global Currency Tracker.
- The statistic is based on the value of live and delivered MT 103, MT 202, and equivalent ISO 20022 payment messages exchanged on Swift, including customer-initiated and institutional payments.
- This market will use the first value published by Swift for December 2026.
- Corrections or revisions published after Expiration will not be considered.
- If Swift changes the title, format, or location of the Global Currency Tracker but continues to publish a materially equivalent statistic, the corresponding successor publication may be used.
Open markets
Foreign Exchange
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt59.6%
- SpaceX+1.0pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6M
- 24h Vol
- $10.5K
KALSHIEURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 1.149+3.0pt99%
- Above 1.14199%
- Above 1.151+3.0pt98%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26.6K
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
- 2.2M++13.5pt89.3%
- 2.1-2.2M-5.8pt4.8%
- 2.0-2.1M-1.4pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ 99.50+41.3pt100%
- ↓ 99.00+32.5pt100%
- ↓ 99.50100%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
- 2.5 to 2.8M+38.0pt53%
- 2.2 to 2.5M-38.5pt25%
- <2.2M-10.0pt10%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of December?
- 3.0 - 3.5M+14.0pt31.6%
- 2.0 - 2.5M-0.5pt27.6%
- <2.0M-1.5pt16.3%
+3 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 59.0% at 44% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026 resolve?
- USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2027.
- How is USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone, for December 2026 is above 57.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.