KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Lucia Szabova to win in Round 3 (14%)
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 9:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Winning Outcome
Lucia Szabova to win in Round 3
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 7:09 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Lucia Szabova to win in Round 315%
Lucia Szabova to win in Round 222%
Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 21%
Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 13%
Lucia Szabova to win in Round 128%
Decision / Draw / No Contest34%
Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 30%
Lost
Lost
Lost
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Rules
If Lucia Szabova wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- If either competitor wins by decision or the result is Draw/No Contest in the full fight of the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lucia Szabova to win in Round 1
- If Lucia Szabova wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lucia Szabova to win in Round 2
- If Lucia Szabova wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lucia Szabova to win in Round 3
- If Lucia Szabova wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 2
- If Tainara Lisboa wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 1
- If Tainara Lisboa wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 3
- If Tainara Lisboa wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.