KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Decision / Draw / No Contest (57%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 12:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Decision / Draw / No Contest
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 11:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Dakota Hope to win in Round 111%
Dakota Hope to win in Round 28%
Dakota Hope to win in Round 36%
Francis Marshall to win in Round 211%
Francis Marshall to win in Round 39%
Francis Marshall to win in Round 114%
Decision / Draw / No Contest57%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Rules
If either competitor wins by decision or the result is Draw/No Contest in the full fight of the Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- If either competitor wins by decision or the result is Draw/No Contest in the full fight of the Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Francis Marshall to win in Round 1
- If Francis Marshall wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dakota Hope to win in Round 1
- If Dakota Hope wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Francis Marshall to win in Round 2
- If Francis Marshall wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Francis Marshall to win in Round 3
- If Francis Marshall wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dakota Hope to win in Round 2
- If Dakota Hope wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dakota Hope to win in Round 3
- If Dakota Hope wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.