KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Fight ends before round 5 (99%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 2:55 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Fight ends before round 5
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
71%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 3:16 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Fight ends before round 31%
Fight ends before round 599%
Fight ends before round 499%
Fight ends before round 228%
Fight ends before round 5Won
Fight ends before round 4Lost
Fight ends before round 3Lost
Fight ends before round 2Lost
Rules
If the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 ends before round 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Rules for each outcome
- Fight ends before round 5
- If the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 ends before round 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fight ends before round 4
- If the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 ends before round 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fight ends before round 3
- If the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 ends before round 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fight ends before round 2
- If the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 ends before round 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
