KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: KO/TKO/DQ (38%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 2:55 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
KO/TKO/DQ
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
39%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
KO/TKO/DQ39%
Submission40%
Draw/No Contest2%
Decision23%
Lost
Won
Lost
Lost
Rules
If either competitor wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Rules for each outcome
- Submission
- If either competitor wins by Submission during the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- KO/TKO/DQ
- If either competitor wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Decision
- If either competitor wins by Decision during the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Draw/No Contest
- If the result is Draw/No Contest during the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
