Current implied probability
Hikaru Nakamura 18%Leader of 54 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$916
Liquidity
$906
Low liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 10.0%
Spread
150.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 9:00 PMAug 11, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Hikaru Nakamura18%
Volume trend
$916Jul 212d of dataJul 22
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If Arjun Erigaisi finishes in the top 5 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the Titled Tuesday chess competition originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 11:00am EDT.
- The format of the event is blitz, and is a Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Sina Movahed finishes in the top 5 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.