Current implied probability
Hans Niemann 20%Leader of 52 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 22.0%
Spread
46.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 10:25 PMAug 4, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Hans Niemann20%
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If Arjun Erigaisi finishes in the top 8 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the Titled Tuesday chess competition originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 11:00am EDT.
- The format of the event is blitz, and is a Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Sina Movahed finishes in the top 8 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.