KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 75° or above (99%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 5:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
75° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.5K
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
76° or above29%
75° or above99%
77° or above1%
74° or above87%
68° or above0%
69° or above0%
70° or above0%
71° or above0%
72° or above0%
73° or above0%
99%
86%
29%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the temperature recorded at New York City for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.