Current implied probability
94° or above 50%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
28.0% / 95.0%
Spread
239.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 7:00 PMJul 15, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
94° or above50%
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If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Jul 15, 2026 4 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.
- NWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.
- Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Jul 15, 2026 4 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.