KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 86° or above (62%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
86° or above62%
87° or above1%
85° or above99%
80° or above99%
89° or above1%
84° or above96%
83° or above99%
81° or above0%
82° or above0%
88° or above0%
Lost
Before close: 98% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 98% ·
Lost
Before close: 97% ·
Won
Before close: 80% ·
Lost
Before close: 7% ·
Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 26, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Sep 26, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on September 26?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on September 26?
PolymarketRules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 25, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 25, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 25, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 25, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $80,000 or above+5.0pt99%
- $81,000 or above+9.0pt99%
- $80,500 or above+6.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $83,700 or above99%
- $83,800 or above99%
- $83,600 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $877.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+29.0pt89.1%
- 180-199-5.5pt6.9%
- 220-239-19.1pt4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
- Seattle+3.0pt98%
- Providence+30.0pt95%
- Boston+2.0pt72%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $191.6K
KALSHIETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,580 or above+16.0pt99%
- $2,540 or above+8.0pt99%
- $2,500 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes57.6%
- No42.4%
- Total Vol
- $103.5K
- 24h Vol
- $103.5K
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Frequently asked questions
- When does Temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026 at 1pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026 at 1pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026 at 1pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 25, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.