KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 89° or above (97%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 6:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
88° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11.6K
Liquidity
$5.5K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
90° or above44%
89° or above97%
88° or above85%
91° or above1%
86° or above99%
87° or above90%
85° or above99%
92° or above0%
93° or above0%
94° or above0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
97%
44%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
- $78,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $995.6K
- 24h Vol
- $992.4K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $80,450.20 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Total Vol
- $894.4K
- 24h Vol
- $427.2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $508.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 200-219+9.0pt36.3%
- 180-19935.3%
- 220-239+4.0pt15.7%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $79,900 or above99%
- $79,700 or above99%
- $79,800 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $277.1K
- 24h Vol
- $220.7K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+12.5pt67.3%
- <40-8.0pt16.8%
- 65-89-4.0pt13.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
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- ETH price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 20, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Temperature in Miami on Sep 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 88° or above at 99% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Temperature in Miami on Sep 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Miami on Sep 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Miami on Sep 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.