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Temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?

TechDailyWeather

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This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Awaiting verified resolution

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Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 6:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current implied probability

80° or above 99%

Leader of 10 outcomes

Market quality

61 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$34.1K

Open interest

$27.1K

High open interest

Spread

2.0 pt

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Oct 19, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 19, 26, 7:00 PM UTC

Trends

80° or above

99%

81° or above

99%

77° or above

99%

78° or above

99%

79° or above

99%

82° or above

97%

83° or above

56%

84° or above

3%

85° or above

1%

86° or above

1%

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 20, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 20, 2026?

Highest temperature in Miami on October 20?

Highest temperature in Miami on October 21?

Rules

This outcome's exact rule is not available.

Settles via:Synoptic Data

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Rules for each outcome

80° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
81° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
77° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
78° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
79° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
82° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
83° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
84° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 83.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
85° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
86° or above: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 19, 2026 at 3 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

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