KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 73° or above (98%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 6:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
73° or above 98%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
74° or above35%
73° or above98%
75° or above1%
76° or above10%
68° or above0%
69° or above0%
70° or above0%
71° or above0%
72° or above0%
77° or above0%
98%
35%
10%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRules
If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Sep 16, 2026 at 1 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.