Current implied probability
89° or above 97%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$3.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 98.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 7:00 PMJul 12, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
89° or above97%
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If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Jul 12, 2026 4 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.
- NWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.
- Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Jul 12, 2026 4 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.