KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below $40.00 90%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$241.9
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 4:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL.
- For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values.
- If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes.
- This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops.
- The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time.
