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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Which soccer players will transfer clubs before Sep 15, 2026?
Which soccer players will transfer clubs before Sep 15, 2026?

Which soccer players will transfer clubs before Sep 15, 2026?

One-OffSportsSoccerBusiness & Corporate3mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Robert Lewandowski
Robert Lewandowski 97%
Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$217.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

93.0% / 99.0%

Spread

6.5%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Feb 20, 26, 3:00 PMSep 15, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Robert Lewandowski97%

Rules

If Robert Lewandowski transfers out of Barcelona before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This‬‭ includes‬‭ permanent‬‭ transfers‬‭ out‬‭ (the‬‭ player‬‭ is‬‭ sold‬‭ or‬‭ transferred‬‭ to‬‭ another‬‭ club,‬ whether‬‭ for‬‭ a‬‭ fee‬‭ or‬‭ as‬‭ a‬‭ free‬‭ transfer),‬‭ loans‬‭ out‬‭ (the‬‭ player‬‭ is‬‭ loaned‬‭ out‬‭ to‬‭ another‬‭ club for‬‭ any‬‭ duration),‬‭ or‬‭ an‬‭ official‬‭ contract‬‭ release‬‭ (including‬‭ expiration)‬‭ or‬‭ termination‬‭ (the‬ player and club part ways, making the player a free agent).
  • If Antoine Griezmann transfers out of Atletico before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bernardo Silva transfers out of Manchester City before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Leon Goretzka transfers out of Bayern before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Julian Brandt transfers out of Dortmund before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Robert Lewandowski transfers out of Barcelona before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This‬‭ includes‬‭ permanent‬‭ transfers‬‭ out‬‭ (the‬‭ player‬‭ is‬‭ sold‬‭ or‬‭ transferred‬‭ to‬‭ another‬‭ club,‬ whether‬‭ for‬‭ a‬‭ fee‬‭ or‬‭ as‬‭ a‬‭ free‬‭ transfer),‬‭ loans‬‭ out‬‭ (the‬‭ player‬‭ is‬‭ loaned‬‭ out‬‭ to‬‭ another‬‭ club for‬‭ any‬‭ duration),‬‭ or‬‭ an‬‭ official‬‭ contract‬‭ release‬‭ (including‬‭ expiration)‬‭ or‬‭ termination‬‭ (the‬ player and club part ways, making the player a free agent).
  • If Antoine Griezmann transfers out of Atletico before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bernardo Silva transfers out of Manchester City before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Leon Goretzka transfers out of Bayern before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Julian Brandt transfers out of Dortmund before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.