
What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?
24dMarket quality 29 • Low qualityThin market704pt disagreement
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Stupid Question 5%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Last updated: Apr 5, 2:09 PM
Resolves
Apr 30, 2026, 2:00 PM
24h Volume
$88.3
Liquidity
$376.7
Spread
25.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-
Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Apr 1, 2026, 12:00 AMEnds Apr 30, 2026, 2:00 PM
Trends
No chart data available.
Outcome24hChance

























Also available on Polymarket
Last updated: 10 minutes ago
Epic Fury
0pt84%
TSA
0pt65%
Fraud
0pt41%
FBI
0pt38%
Vol
$445.4
24h Vol
$88.3
Liq
$376.7
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
US residents onlyKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
Last updated: 16 minutes ago
Epic Fury
▲ +4pt88%
TSA
▼ 10pt55%
Fraud
▼ 3pt38%
FBI
▼ 3pt35%
Vol
$2.5K
24h Vol
$858.5
Liq
$3.5K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
Not available in USNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If the White House Press Secretary says Biden at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. The event will resolve based on White House Press Secretary speaking in an official capacity. If White House Press Secretary is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
- If the White House Press Secretary says Russia / Russian at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the White House Press Secretary says Tariff at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the White House Press Secretary says Supreme Court at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
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