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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

24d
KalshiKalshiUS residents onlyKYC required2% fee
Market quality 29Low qualityThin market704pt disagreement

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Stupid Question 5%

Market quality

29 / 100

Low quality
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 5.0%

Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

Last updated: Apr 5, 2:09 PM

Resolves

Apr 30, 2026, 2:00 PM

24h Volume

$88.3

Liquidity

$376.7

Spread

25.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-

Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Apr 1, 2026, 12:00 AMEnds Apr 30, 2026, 2:00 PM

Trends

No chart data available.
Outcome24hChance
Stupid Question
Stupid Question
0.0%5%
Easter
Easter
0.0%49%
Radical Left
Radical Left
-4.0%11%
Crypto / Bitcoin
Crypto / Bitcoin
+2.0%6%
Stock Market
Stock Market
+2.0%16%
Supreme Court
Supreme Court
+6.0%56%
Iran
Iran
+1.0%96%
Tariff
Tariff
+6.0%24%
ICE / DHS
ICE / DHS
+13.0%71%
Save Act / Save America Act
Save Act / Save America Act
-1.0%41%
App
App
-10.0%28%
Nuclear
Nuclear
+2.0%87%
TSA
TSA
-6.0%65%
Affordable / Affordability
Affordable / Affordability
-12.0%15%
Fraud
Fraud
0.0%41%
China
China
-1.0%58%
Biden
Biden
-2.0%67%
Hormuz
Hormuz
+11.0%79%
Epic Fury
Epic Fury
+2.0%84%
Fake News
Fake News
-10.0%33%
Healthcare
Healthcare
0.0%23%
Russia / Russian
Russia / Russian
-10.0%39%
Oil
Oil
-7.0%70%
Common Sense
Common Sense
+10.0%39%
FBI
FBI
-3.0%38%
Polymarket

Also available on Polymarket

704pt disagreement
KalshiKalshi
Last updated: 10 minutes ago
Epic Fury
84%
TSA
65%
Fraud
41%
FBI
38%
Vol

$445.4

24h Vol

$88.3

Liq

$376.7

Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
US residents onlyKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Last updated: 16 minutes ago
Epic Fury
▲ +4pt88%
TSA
▼ 10pt55%
Fraud
▼ 3pt38%
FBI
▼ 3pt35%
Vol

$2.5K

24h Vol

$858.5

Liq

$3.5K

Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
Not available in USNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Rules

If the White House Press Secretary says Biden at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Video of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. The event will resolve based on White House Press Secretary speaking in an official capacity. If White House Press Secretary is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
  • If the White House Press Secretary says Russia / Russian at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the White House Press Secretary says Tariff at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the White House Press Secretary says Supreme Court at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.