When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?
4.0 pts (24h)SportsOne-OffPoliticsAmerican Football1mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2027 32.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027 32.5%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4
Open interest
$1.5K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
—
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jun 11, 26, 12:15 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2027
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will both the House and Senate pass a resolution to limit military action in Iran?
Manifold MarketsWill the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS passes bill to move President's Day to day after Super Bowl During Trump's Second Term
Manifold MarketsWill Zach Wilson run for elected political office in the U.S. state of Utah before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Nick Saban ever run for a major Alabama political position?
Manifold MarketsRules
If a budget resolution has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a budget resolution has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If a budget resolution has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
