KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 2 inches 98%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 99.0%
Spread
94.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 2:00 PMSep 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 1 inches97%
Volume trend
$4Jul 282d of dataJul 29
Related Markets
Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?
$17.7KAbove 6 low_inches: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will it rain on Jul 29, 2026?
$98.4KLas Vegas: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Rain in Miami in Jul 2026?
$43.7KAbove 5 inches: 38%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$12.2K1st hottest: 64%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$11.4KSpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
New pandemic in 2026?
$1.8KYes: 10%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Rules
If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.