Will it rain in NYC on May 30, 2026?

95.0% (24h)Foreign ExchangeOne-Off

KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: May 31, 2026, 12:01 PM

Winning Outcome

Yes

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability

Yes 99%+95.0%

Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$1.3K

Liquidity

$1.3K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 13 days ago

Stale

May 29, 26, 2:00 PMMay 31, 26, 3:59 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Outcome24hChance

Yes

+95.0%

99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on May 30, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for May 30, 2026 or June 06, 2026.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 06, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

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Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on May 30, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for May 30, 2026 or June 06, 2026.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 06, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

Will it rain in NYC on May 30, 2026?

95.0% (24h)Foreign ExchangeOne-Off

KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: May 31, 2026, 12:01 PM

Winning Outcome

Yes

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability

Yes 99%+95.0%

Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$1.3K

Liquidity

$1.3K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 13 days ago

Stale

May 29, 26, 2:00 PMMay 31, 26, 3:59 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Outcome24hChance

Yes

+95.0%

99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on May 30, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for May 30, 2026 or June 06, 2026.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 06, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

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Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on May 30, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for May 30, 2026 or June 06, 2026.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 06, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.