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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Foreign Exchange
  3. Will it rain in NYC on Jun 11, 2026?
Will it rain in NYC on Jun 11, 2026?

Will it rain in NYC on Jun 11, 2026?

Foreign ExchangeOne-Off21h
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 76%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$8.8

Liquidity

$8.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

76.0% / 91.0%

Spread

19.7%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 2:00 PMJun 12, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes76%

Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 11, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
  • If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 11, 2026 or June 18, 2026.
  • If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 18, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 11, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
  • If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 11, 2026 or June 18, 2026.
  • If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 18, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.