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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Foreign Exchange
  3. Will it rain in NYC on Jun 1, 2026?
Will it rain in NYC on Jun 1, 2026?

Will it rain in NYC on Jun 1, 2026?

86.0% (24h)Foreign ExchangeOne-Off
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 PM

Winning Outcome

Yes

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 99%+86.0%
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$4.9K

Liquidity

$4.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 10 days ago

Stale
May 31, 26, 2:00 PMJun 2, 26, 3:59 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%
No1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 1
Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
+86.0%
99%
No
No
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 01, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
  • If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 01, 2026 or June 08, 2026.
  • If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 08, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

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Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 01, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
  • If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 01, 2026 or June 08, 2026.
  • If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 08, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.