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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. Charles Schwab Challenge: To Make the Cut
Charles Schwab Challenge: To Make the Cut

Charles Schwab Challenge: To Make the Cut

26.0% (24h)Sports
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Justin Thomas (99%)

Resolved: May 30, 2026, 12:36 AM

Winning Outcome

Justin Thomas

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

73%

Consensus
Current implied probability
Justin Thomas
Justin Thomas 99%+26.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.2K

Liquidity

$2.1K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Stale
May 25, 26, 8:10 PMJun 28, 26, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Justin Thomas67%
Ryan Palmer48%
Tom Hoge54%
Tony Finau51%
Neal Shipley21%
Rickie Fowler90%
Hideki Matsuyama93%
Nick Dunlap99%
Zecheng Dou1%
0%25%50%75%100%May 28May 29May 30
Outcome24hChance
Justin Thomas
Justin Thomas
+26.0%
99%
Lanto Griffin
Lanto Griffin
+96.0%
99%
Kevin Kisner
Kevin Kisner
-82.0%
1%
Sungjae Im
Sungjae Im
-33.0%
4%
Neal Shipley
Neal Shipley
-38.0%
20%
Rickie Fowler
Rickie Fowler
-82.0%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Kensei Hirata has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or doesn't participate: Prior to teeing off: Market resolves to Fair Market Value After teeing off: Market resolves to No
  • Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA.
  • All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
  • If Zecheng Dou has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Chad Ramey has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Kensei Hirata has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or doesn't participate: Prior to teeing off: Market resolves to Fair Market Value After teeing off: Market resolves to No
  • Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA.
  • All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
  • If Zecheng Dou has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Chad Ramey has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.