KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 11:35 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 10:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Doug Ghim beats Novak and Pavon 94.2%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Doug Ghim beats Novak and Pavon 94.2%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.9K
Open interest
$2.9K
Medium open interestSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 26, 2:05 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 5:51 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Andrew Novak beats Pavon and Ghim3%
Doug Ghim beats Novak and Pavon98%
Matthieu Pavon beats Novak and Ghim19%
Doug Ghim beats Novak and Pavon94.2%
Andrew Novak beats Pavon and Ghim2.9%
Matthieu Pavon beats Novak and Ghim2.9%
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Tie Resolution If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout Withdrawal Rule If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Doug Ghim beats Novak and Pavon
- If Doug Ghim is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Doug Ghim, Andrew Novak, and Matthieu Pavon in the 4th round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Andrew Novak beats Pavon and Ghim
- If Andrew Novak is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Andrew Novak, Matthieu Pavon, and Doug Ghim in the 4th round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Matthieu Pavon beats Novak and Ghim
- If Matthieu Pavon is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Matthieu Pavon, Andrew Novak, and Doug Ghim in the 4th round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
