KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Keita Nakajima beats Fishburn and Morales (74%)
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 12:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Keita Nakajima beats Fishburn and Morales
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 10:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Keita Nakajima beats Fishburn and Morales74%
Patrick Fishburn beats Morales and Nakajima11%
Omar Morales beats Fishburn and Nakajima8%
Keita Nakajima beats Fishburn and MoralesWon
Patrick Fishburn beats Morales and NakajimaLost
Omar Morales beats Fishburn and NakajimaLost
Rules
If Keita Nakajima is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Keita Nakajima, Patrick Fishburn, and Omar Morales in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout Withdrawal Rule If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Keita Nakajima beats Fishburn and Morales
- If Keita Nakajima is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Keita Nakajima, Patrick Fishburn, and Omar Morales in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Patrick Fishburn beats Morales and Nakajima
- If Patrick Fishburn is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Patrick Fishburn, Omar Morales, and Keita Nakajima in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Omar Morales beats Fishburn and Nakajima
- If Omar Morales is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Omar Morales, Patrick Fishburn, and Keita Nakajima in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
