KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Marco Penge beats Daly II and James (90%)
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 8:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Marco Penge beats Daly II and James
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 6:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Benjamin James beats Daly II and Penge7%
Marco Penge beats Daly II and James90%
John Daly II beats James and Penge11%
Marco Penge beats Daly II and JamesWon
John Daly II beats James and PengeLost
Benjamin James beats Daly II and PengeLost
Rules
If Marco Penge is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Marco Penge, John Daly II, and Benjamin James in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout Withdrawal Rule If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Marco Penge beats Daly II and James
- If Marco Penge is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Marco Penge, John Daly II, and Benjamin James in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Daly II beats James and Penge
- If John Daly II is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among John Daly II, Benjamin James, and Marco Penge in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin James beats Daly II and Penge
- If Benjamin James is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Benjamin James, John Daly II, and Marco Penge in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.