KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Neal Shipley beats Chatfield and Nyholm (97%)
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 12:05 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Neal Shipley beats Chatfield and Nyholm
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 10:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Neal Shipley beats Chatfield and Nyholm97%
Pontus Nyholm beats Chatfield and Shipley28%
Davis Chatfield beats Nyholm and Shipley0%
Neal Shipley beats Chatfield and NyholmWon
Pontus Nyholm beats Chatfield and ShipleyLost
Davis Chatfield beats Nyholm and ShipleyLost
Rules
If Neal Shipley is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Neal Shipley, Davis Chatfield, and Pontus Nyholm in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout Withdrawal Rule If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Neal Shipley beats Chatfield and Nyholm
- If Neal Shipley is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Neal Shipley, Davis Chatfield, and Pontus Nyholm in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pontus Nyholm beats Chatfield and Shipley
- If Pontus Nyholm is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Pontus Nyholm, Davis Chatfield, and Neal Shipley in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Davis Chatfield beats Nyholm and Shipley
- If Davis Chatfield is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Davis Chatfield, Pontus Nyholm, and Neal Shipley in the 1st round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
